Voting and boycotting

 

In 2013, your vote as Kenyans gave the UhuRuto ticket a 50% + 1 victory with slightly over 8,000 voters.

But on 26th October 2017, you the Kenyan People handed President Uhuru and DP Ruto an overwhelming 98% mandate of the vote cast.

Let me contextualize that – in August 8/8/2017, the winning candidate got approximately 54% of the vote, so 96% is a great result.

The facts are clear that the vote came in from over 36,000 polling stations, which represents 88.9% of all polling stations in Kenya – This number is likely to go up after the Saturday polls announced by IEBC.

Now that is the point of my letter to you this evening.

There is a reason the constitution expresses itself in percentages when discussing parameters of deciding who should be declared President.

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Let me walk you through the world;

Liberia

In November 2011, Ellen Johnson was declared President after winning a run-off poll against a former UN diplomat Winston Tubman – who days to the poll announced he was withdrawing from the race.

She won with 90% of the vote. Turnout was 37%, which was half the turnout in the original election.

She served her second term and served The People of Liberia.

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Burkina Faso

Presidential elections were held in Burkina Faso on 1 December 1991.

It was the first time in 13 years that the Country was holding elections. The last elections had been held in 1978.

Opposition parties boycotted hoping to force the incumbent to accept their demands (Irreducible Minimums).

The elections proceeded and only one candidate was on the ballot.

Incumbent President Blaise Compaoré won – voter turnout was just 27.3%.

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Ghana

Ghana reverted to civilian rule and held Presidential Elections. The opposition lost.

So they decided to boycott the Parliamentary vote.

As a result of the boycott, only 2m of the 7.7 m voters at the time voted.

Turnout was 28%

The Ruling party went on to win 189 of the 200 seats.

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MALI

In 1997, Mali main opposition parties boycotted polls.

Incumbent President Alpha Oumar was re-elected with 84% of the vote

Turnout was 29%

Raila, Kalonzo and co.

In 2002, having been beaten to the game by the Grandmaster of Politics – Daniel Moi – Raila crafted “Kasarani sirudi tena – huko ni kichinjio’

The boycotted the delegates election that saw Uhuru Kenyatta elected by delegates as the Kanu Presidential Candidate

The side they supported eventually won the main election in 2002.

The People Decided – Uhuru Kenyatta conceded.

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The other aspect is turnout in run-offs – which I will leave to you to find out for yourself, the point is prosecuted, even in our own by-elections, Turnout is almost always poor.

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Having said that let me now say this, the other day, Raila Odinga supporters celebrated a 4 vote win handed by the Supreme Court and they sang, danced and told all that cared to listen that Uhuru had stolen their victory – never mind that was not the ruling of the Supreme Court.

On the other hand we have a clear win and mandate and all I see is a people who look beaten, you would think we lost the vote.

Let me tell you what happened yesterday. We got between 6.5m to 8.1m reasons why UhuRuto.

Between 6.5m to 8.1m voters (The final numbers will come from IEBC) VOTED FOR A SECOND TIME IN ONE YEAR AND SAID THE DYNAMIC DUO SHOULD GET A SECOND TERM

It is now time to put on the dancing shoes and dance.

Our hope for 9m votes or over is borne is born out of the fact we want to have bragging rights, we have been made to believe that legitimacy is surpassing or matching what we got on 8/8/2017 – yet getting more than half of the vote cast and a quarter in at least 24 counties is all that is needed.

The fact is President Uhuru has beaten his closest challenge by at least 6m votes so far, there is no way he can recover.

Uhuru has now beaten the same challenger three times and the margin keeps getting bigger in each election.

I urge you to now transform yourselves as a people, to a Manifesto Implementation Committee of the People of Kenya.

Let us stop discussing all these other issues, there was a vote, there was a turnout and the final numbers look good as reported by agents.

Let us close the discussion on elections and begin one on governance, demanding the pledges made be fulfilled and suggesting how our country should be governed.

But First, let us celebrate a hard-fought win, maybe by planting a tree, opening a company and applying to supply Government, seeking information on opportunities available, going back to work, singing, shouting a bit and reconciling where possible.

Let us change the conversation.

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CONCLUSION

Let us end it this way, Raila Amolo Odinga, joined elective politics at the age of 46. He did so through disruption and commotion.

He stormed a meeting presided over by his father, Jaramogi Odinga. He got in late to the Ford Kenya meeting, accompanied by some rowdy youth at his command.

It was this meeting that endorsed his father as the Ford Kenya Presidential Candidate in 1992.

Jaramogi, was visibly irritated by the late entry and the disruption and he addressed his son, “ Amolo, can you tell those boys to stop shouting,”

God Bless You and Keep You all

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